0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$107.0K
Total PnL
$-11.8M
Realised
$-5.3M
Win rate
25%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
40021 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.2K
$528.36
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
10959 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.9K
$10.97
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
11199 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.8K
$-1.98
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
7419 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.9K
$-12.86
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
5900 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.8K
$-7.09
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
5099 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$-89.68
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
5045 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.5K
$23.42
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$25.00
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
3283 shares @ 87.3¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.7K
$-140.71
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
2570 shares @ 84.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-262.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$53.55May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$35.59May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$32.53May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$57.29May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4.5KMay 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$33.68May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$41.81May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$43.88May 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.1KMay 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$34.40May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$46.54May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$19.30May 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.9KMay 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.4KMay 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$40.85May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$39.90May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$15.20May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$61.28May 18, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$139.20May 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$33.33May 18, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $566.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".