Satisfied-Vane
0xfbfd2d74c65016af7640f3465ce58c011b64a282
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$6.40
Total PnL
$-57.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
318 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?
151 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$7.63Mar 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$1.00Mar 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$1.00Mar 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Mar 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$1.00Mar 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?$1.00Mar 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$1.00Mar 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$1.00Mar 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during Taoiseach events?$1.00Mar 17, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 17, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".