Deficient-Chafe
0xfc03f586a4c96b8179ace641a493cc9958bff66f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$63.20
Total PnL
$-51.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
300 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$31.50
$-31.50
- NO
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$17.10
$-30.90
- NO
Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$14.60
$11.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$0.00May 17, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 02:39 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.45May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?$17.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$40.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$24.10May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$1.21May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$24.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$28.79May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$7.90May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$14.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$13.82May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$6.18May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$24.00May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$32.00May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?$3.20May 16, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $32.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".