Bare-Mambo
0xfc04e014f3e520191b5f456ca6a47f93b0a14f75
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$91.5K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$-993.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
47265 shares @ 94.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$46.4K
$1.9K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
29095 shares @ 94.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$27.3K
$-265.76
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10124 shares @ 77.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.9K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7791 shares @ 36.1¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.7K
$-113.71
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2604 shares @ 77.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$191.27
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4836 shares @ 34.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.1K
$425.44
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
1353 shares @ 77.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-35.60
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
381 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$341.00
$24.77
- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
295 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$280.20
$-0.31
- YES
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
303 shares @ 33.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$134.72
$32.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$132.48May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$3.96May 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.64May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.64May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$42.54May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$62.70May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$42.79May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$31.80May 17, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$93.15May 17, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.34May 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$7.41May 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$52.30May 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.34May 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.92May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.37May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.80May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$6.9KMay 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$7.0KMay 16, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$37.39May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$42.28May 16, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $530.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".