Lively-Serial
0xfc23c3ef4fd06232de519f4fcb97e64b2e236043
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-857.71
Realised
$-381.29
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2920 shares @ 73.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.7K
$569.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1450 shares @ 66.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$312.01
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
650 shares @ 88.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$588.16
$12.50
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
599 shares @ 79.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$503.06
$27.09
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
418 shares @ 71.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$353.61
$53.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1909 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.18
$-21.01
- YES
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1946 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-698.58
- YES
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1051 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?
204 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-81.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$39.68May 17, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36.00May 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$720.97May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$719.56May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$612.87May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$617.65May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$623.41May 16, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$153.03May 16, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?$110.00May 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$79.41May 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$4.00May 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 7 countries in 2026?$108.70May 16, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$303.40May 16, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$0.00May 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$403.07May 16, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$1.6KMay 16, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$1.2KMay 15, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$102.93May 15, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?$81.20May 15, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$201.06May 15, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $275.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".