Knowing-Waterbed
0xfc3647f82c210813b3ce62ab1f6b845c9fe908bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$310.48
Total PnL
$-1.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
145 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$144.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
123 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 22, 2026$122.15
$-0.85
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
48 shares @ 94.6¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$144.04May 17, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$205.41May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$205.00May 15, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$123.01May 15, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$31.66May 15, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$230.22May 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$30.00Apr 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$230.00Apr 27, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$330.31Apr 27, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$330.00Apr 13, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$16.48Apr 13, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.41Apr 13, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$283.42Apr 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$15.00Mar 27, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$282.00Mar 9, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$320.00Mar 9, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$19.94Feb 7, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$299.10Feb 7, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$300.90Feb 7, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 23, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $188.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".