Oval-Treaty
0xfc75f7bf7d158ffd32b6133b31705ebe41328604
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$16.0K
Total PnL
$-773.77
Realised
$10.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
5536 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$85.07
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 88.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$10.05
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$870.00
$370.00
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
3288 shares @ 21.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$739.80
$28.44
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
600 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$574.80
$3.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
400 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$394.60
$3.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
600 shares @ 77.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
436 shares @ 88.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$377.37
$-8.34
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$354.97
$5.00
- NO
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?
200 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$197.40
$2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$120.79May 18, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$850.38May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$6.45May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$6.92May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$6.92May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$63.70May 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$16.18May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$24.27May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.04May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$9.88May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$5.94May 18, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.11May 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.02May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$9.99May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$364.00May 18, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$6.92May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$434.28May 18, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.50May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$57.00May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$9.17May 17, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $60.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".