Thrifty-Base
0xfc9b8d8219c98da39add569a67497557f0e0c8a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$188.08
Total PnL
$-2.70
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
18 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$17.72
$0.10
- NO
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
16 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$16.02
$0.14
- NO
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
13 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.83
$0.09
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
12 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$12.16
$1.46
- NO
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
12 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$11.74
$0.23
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
12 shares @ 67.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.63
$2.49
- YES
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.40
$4.06
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
10 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.51
$0.23
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.03
$3.37
- DELHI CAPITALS
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$6.11
$3.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.40Apr 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox$2.50Apr 3, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Capitals$3.04Apr 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Capitals$3.04Apr 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLCredit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencic$2.11Apr 3, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Marlins vs. New York Yankees$3.32Apr 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencic$2.27Apr 3, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCredit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva$5.67Apr 3, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.44Apr 3, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva$2.81Apr 3, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCredit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtseva$2.81Apr 3, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.11Apr 3, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarletta: Remy Bertola vs Enrico Dalla Valle$2.90Apr 3, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBarletta: Marco Cecchinato vs Felix Gill$5.41Apr 3, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarletta: Lukas Neumayer vs Toby Samuel$2.61Apr 3, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarletta: Lukas Neumayer vs Toby Samuel$2.67Apr 3, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMenorca: Sergio Callejon vs Andrew Paulson$2.80Apr 3, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarletta: Marco Cecchinato vs Felix Gill$2.53Apr 3, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. New York Yankees$3.32Apr 3, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMenorca: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Ivan Gakhov$1.65Apr 3, 08:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".