Political-Eveningwear
0xfcb5fe789d062e7f203142d2be7778db452868bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.7K
Total PnL
$-34.0K
Realised
$-6.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
42064 shares @ 12.1¢·now 28.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.1K
$7.1K
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
14255 shares @ 11.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.5K
$-190.65
- YES
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1120 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.52
$-310.48
- YES
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?
844 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.11
$-97.89
- YES
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
187 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-88.60
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
137372 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.0K
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
33325 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
18269 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
- OVER
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
9414 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
1015 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.6KMay 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$2.47May 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$103.62May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.34May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.36May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.35May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.19May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.19May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.24May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.01May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$25.96May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$25.98May 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.05May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$26.08May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$175.68May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$103.06May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$25.96May 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$25.98May 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$104.09May 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$26.03May 17, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $615.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".