Shallow-Flicker
0xfcc3fc83445682e1bf2f6737e906f7eb9453648e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$14.50
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-122.00
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
1700 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1610 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-361.65
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1040 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-243.60
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
931 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-222.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
637 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10?
228 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-149.44
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 13?
101 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-31.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 12?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.08May 16, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$201.18May 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$105.90May 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$47.11May 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$59.35May 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$105.11May 16, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00May 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$105.69May 16, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.16May 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$152.57Apr 17, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$13.76Apr 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$36.85Apr 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$33.78Apr 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$237.53Apr 17, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$145.94Apr 17, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$42.76Apr 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$57.73Apr 17, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic IPO before 2027?$16.02Mar 17, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?$103.00Mar 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$12.00Mar 4, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $74.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".