Mammoth-Watchmaker
0xfce13d30a932afe5969309f0a55ec66db3179f9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$242.21
Realised
$5.11
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
967 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$967.00
$377.13
- YES
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?
809 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$809.00
$679.56
- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
974 shares @ 14.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$487.00
$350.64
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
469 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$469.00
$164.15
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
446 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$445.78
$0.22
- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1241 shares @ 24.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$428.02
$130.18
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 82.6¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.35
$3.69
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
302 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$31.71
$-122.31
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.72
$1.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$297.84Apr 23, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMillonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5$398.82Apr 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$23.78Apr 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$7.35Apr 12, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$14.70Apr 12, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$94.34Apr 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$531.33Apr 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$24.92Apr 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$650.59Apr 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?$39.04Apr 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?$90.40Apr 10, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$77.40Apr 10, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$13.36Apr 9, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$647.96Apr 9, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$41.61Apr 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$160.29Apr 7, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$589.87Apr 7, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$375.00Apr 3, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$2.61Mar 30, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$372.36Mar 30, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $232.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".