Whopping-Chiffonier
0xfcf2378f20cf408d077c21e731272f21cccea469
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$120.0K
Total PnL
$-103.1K
Realised
$46.4K
Win rate
62%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.7K
$15.7K
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
17078 shares @ 53.9¢·now 64.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.1K
$1.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11932 shares @ 54.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$3.4K
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.8K
$195.01
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.3K
$-15.7K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
8114 shares @ 67.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$55.24
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
13722 shares @ 39.1¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$-693.57
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5067 shares @ 76.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$164.93
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
4138 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$62.07
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
7645 shares @ 40.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$-5.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$17.50May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35.50May 18, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$5.90May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.34May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.92May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.25May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$82.69May 17, 02:44 UTC
- YIELD$5.90May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.70May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$0.47May 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.26May 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$2.10May 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.06May 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$6.92May 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.00May 16, 09:40 UTC
- YIELD$5.90May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$12.17May 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$70.91May 15, 20:37 UTC
- YIELD$5.90May 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $60.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 14:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".