Marvelous-Headlight
0xfcf4e98f6e8cf7a161dcd13865f834090a58527f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$390.93
Total PnL
$-283.20
Realised
$90.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
1000 shares @ 34.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$174.98
$-167.35
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
223 shares @ 32.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$68.01
$-5.29
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?
557 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$61.29
$2.00
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
1311 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$59.65
$-163.47
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 29.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$27.00
$-32.00
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
160 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$539.98May 18, 02:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.97May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$20.87May 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.43May 15, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$48.10May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$15.26May 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$2.71May 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$12.67May 15, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$140.00May 15, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.54May 15, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.54May 15, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.54May 15, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$55.17May 15, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.54May 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$3.00May 15, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$2.10May 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$160.28May 15, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$105.59May 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.90May 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.49May 14, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $29.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".