Insignificant-Mystery
0xfd0c402369b6b1fc251a98612f2dd36da752f306
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$128.80
Total PnL
$-38.98
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
83 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.82
$0.54
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
37 shares @ 72.3¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.17
$-13.83
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.38
$-3.87
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$7.30
$1.00
- YES
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 20.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$6.13
$-1.17
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
53 shares @ 8.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.72
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 24.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.82
$1.02
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.30
$0.90
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.22
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.57May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.10May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.43May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.05May 18, 01:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.78May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.40May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.16May 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.90May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.75May 17, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.40May 17, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 17, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.50May 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?$1.60May 16, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.00May 16, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.00May 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.28May 15, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".