Spotted-Fig
0xfd0e12e8e6f33859a247c4f764250ada6f5fd918
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$282.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
3000 shares @ 85.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$-35.00
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$225.75
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$52.50
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
1200 shares @ 86.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$44.00
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$895.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
63 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.69
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$850.00May 15, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 before 2027?$1.7KMay 15, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$172.00May 9, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?$8.00May 6, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$90.08May 4, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$73.43May 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$20.00May 3, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$337.81May 3, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.00May 2, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$870.00May 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$320.01May 1, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$150.68May 1, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$860.00May 1, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$450.00May 1, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$3.0KMay 1, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$430.00Apr 29, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$751.50Apr 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$135.00Apr 27, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$4.50Apr 27, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$9.00Apr 27, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $252.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".