Grounded-Farmer
0xfd10837e41f7fbe616ed0b6f3ca60b59e28b5378
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
2201 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$16.24
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$945.00
$5.00
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$905.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$62.50
$-37.50
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
1570 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
1202 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
569 shares @ 87.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
532 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$278.06May 17, 11:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$503.01May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$362.40May 16, 20:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$202.81May 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$769.58May 14, 21:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $767.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".