Humongous-Fannypack
0xfd2b117412a698f322b0cd18d6827dad262b8e50
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$51.9K
Total PnL
$-896.5K
Realised
$650.27
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
435152 shares @ 14.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.6K
$-30.3K
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
12705 shares @ 11.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.1K
$6.7K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5305 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.9K
$45.10
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
12705 shares @ 46.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.6K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
727 shares @ 88.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$717.07
$73.88
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2521 shares @ 36.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$705.99
$-217.53
- NO
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
161 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.38
$7.26
- YES
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?
72 shares @ 82.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$71.45
$11.60
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
249567 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.0K
- NO
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
212581 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.2K
Recent activity
- REWARD$91.31May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.47May 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$40.39May 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$198.26May 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$109.44May 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.56May 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$44.44May 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$44.44May 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$88.89May 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.93May 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$17.00May 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.11May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$80.00May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.89May 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.70May 16, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.30May 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.49May 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.22May 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.68May 16, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $120.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".