Everlasting-Nonconformist
0xfd3131e14052d70d4907fbf231b3126c6f29d389
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-895.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
800 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$800.00
$312.00
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
700 shares @ 85.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$549.50
$-45.50
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
210 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$210.00
$81.90
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
400 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 13, 2026$1.85
$-0.15
- VERSTAPPEN
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.47
$0.43
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
275000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
195000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-195.00
- YES
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
11000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
8000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWho will finish higher: Verstappen or Hamilton?$1.04May 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$36.00May 7, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$2.15Apr 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$10.65Apr 19, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.23Apr 19, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$12.77Apr 19, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arvid Lindblad finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$108.17Apr 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$32.75Apr 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$26.11Apr 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$36.39Apr 18, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz Jr. finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$23.52Apr 18, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$50.00Apr 18, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?$46.26Apr 18, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$300.00Apr 12, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 8, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$59.67Apr 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$66.30Apr 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$170.37Apr 7, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$405.70Apr 7, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$9.29Apr 7, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $110.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 19:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".