Rapid-Accident
0xfd39b573bc2aa618c9bc226624e985133c1d109d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.9K
Total PnL
$-11.2K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
15408 shares @ 59.3¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.6K
$-3.5K
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
6962 shares @ 73.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$-508.49
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2210 shares @ 78.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-259.13
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
900 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$860.85
$14.85
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1559 shares @ 73.1¢·now 41.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$651.86
$-488.61
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
11990 shares @ 27.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$599.52
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1365 shares @ 73.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$580.15
$-425.70
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1495 shares @ 28.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$231.72
$-200.27
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
2133 shares @ 17.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$202.63
$-179.02
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
20 shares @ 38.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-0.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$0.00May 18, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$102.35May 18, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$20.00May 18, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$510.00May 18, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$1.5KMay 18, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$103.30May 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$100.00May 18, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.83May 18, 00:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.03May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$20.00May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.05May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$48.12May 17, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$100.00May 17, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$20.00May 17, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$91.25May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$100.07May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$247.20May 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$500.17May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$474.00May 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$929.92May 17, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $142.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".