Occasional-Rug
0xfd9c1aa7a2b8410f7ead907a7353fe3d6abfe0b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.8K
Total PnL
$-798.94
Realised
$-660.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
15942 shares @ 68.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.9K
$-30.67
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
10492 shares @ 28.6¢·now 28.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$20.83
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
17704 shares @ 11.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.9K
$-127.98
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
4 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$0.12
- NO
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
75 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
2 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$8.6KMay 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$232.24May 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$64.60May 18, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$185.45May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$377.26May 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.06May 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.13May 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$261.54May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$639.79May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$261.53May 18, 00:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$14.28May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.27May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$13.67May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$3.57May 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.56May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.94May 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$33.25May 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$42.63May 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$974.88May 18, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $328.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".