Known-Hydrocarb
0xfe078d2aa8816a649b8a2261378e8123ad20d839
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$46.98
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-193.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
2886 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.98
$-207.87
- YES
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
3000 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.00
$-630.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
1843 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-411.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
1708 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-371.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
1700 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-249.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
1686 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-378.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
1531 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-358.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
1450 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-218.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
1450 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-206.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
1405 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-289.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 10?$3.45Nov 10, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 10?$33.66Nov 10, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?$80.25Nov 10, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?$58.00Nov 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?$31.15Nov 10, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 10?$1.95Nov 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10?$62.00Nov 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 10?$47.20Nov 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 10?$11.80Nov 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 10?$5.96Nov 10, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.05Nov 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$16.59Nov 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$463.47Nov 10, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$138.49Nov 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 8?$24.00Nov 8, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$93.33Nov 7, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$0.11Nov 6, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$3.50Nov 6, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?$15.08Nov 5, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?$117.12Nov 5, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $58.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".