Lasting-Puffin
0xfe0b04efa76f6aea2c106b2e647867c83454b5fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$1.8K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3900 shares @ 78.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$344.77
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2662 shares @ 93.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$38.61
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
1400 shares @ 80.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$903.00
$-227.99
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
1516 shares @ 57.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$644.29
$-231.97
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 13.6¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$363.00
$91.00
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
5941 shares @ 26.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.31
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
111 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.95
$2.50
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$45.50
$-39.50
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
1720 shares @ 7.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.56
$-96.62
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
337 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.58
$-32.84
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.74May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.59May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.95May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.30May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.50May 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.67May 9, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.95May 8, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:15 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.68May 7, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $162.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".