Phony-Calf
0xfe0d2705108114a09266e4a635e22050cb6152d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$297.00
Total PnL
$25.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
1000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.00
$30.00
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
100 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$58.00
$0.00
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
350 shares @ 15.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$49.00
$-4.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$58.97May 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$55.29May 17, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$200.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$0.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$0.00May 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$22.39May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$66.14May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$132.16May 16, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$165.38May 6, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$53.75May 6, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$209.00Mar 6, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$334.37Mar 6, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$91.27Feb 26, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$3.07Feb 26, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$26.93Feb 26, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$15.00Feb 26, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$72.75Feb 26, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$97.30Feb 26, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $58.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".