Misguided-Pleasure
0xfe49d7aeb9a145bb04fd43c8ce3e08c066e5716a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$90.67
Total PnL
$-26.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
17 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?
11 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 27, 2026$10.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
12 shares @ 96.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.25
$-1.68
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
7 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$7.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$4.03May 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$5.03May 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?$5.01May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$5.00May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?$11.02May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?$10.04May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$17.00May 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$5.00May 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$7.01May 18, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs$7.01May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$7.07May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$7.45May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$10.22May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$11.18May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage$12.78May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$10.22May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage$12.02Apr 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: against All authority vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs$7.00Apr 28, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$11.01Apr 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$10.01Apr 28, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $9.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".