Tired-Inlaws
0xfedc381bf3fb5d20433bb4a0216b15dbbc5c6398
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$77.2K
Total PnL
$29.5K
Realised
$39.2K
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1079905 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.2K
$-836.93
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1204929 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.0K
$-733.80
- YES
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1175731 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.8K
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
973428 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.3K
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
832909 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.9K
$951.18
- YES
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1032775 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.7K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
718944 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.8K
$-461.56
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1687277 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.2K
$-843.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
403342 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.8K
$-598.56
- YES
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
448815 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.8K
$-224.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.32May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.68May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.33May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.06May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.13May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.10May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.32May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.49May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.61May 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.02May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.01May 18, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".