Jam-Packed-Probability
0xff32f661adc9bc60185dcebe963ecc850ed48932
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$41.46
Total PnL
$-278.45
Realised
$1.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 55.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.79
$-1.21
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
14 shares @ 65.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.10
$-0.90
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.94
$0.94
- YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- JD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYQingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5$1.01May 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5$1.01May 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.02May 16, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5$1.01May 16, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYShenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Score$1.01May 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.02May 16, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$1.02May 16, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$1.54May 16, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.01May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1.01May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2.02May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.01May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.01May 15, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBeijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5$1.45May 15, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMZhejiang Lions vs. Shanxi Loongs$1.32May 15, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.35May 15, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.41May 15, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?$1.45May 15, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.47May 15, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$1.47May 15, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".