0xff36fc6de4ccdd290c14ee69244c21c1803ad5b7
0xff36fc6de4ccdd290c14ee69244c21c1803ad5b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$84.06
Total PnL
$-392.94
Realised
$-387.09
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
365 shares @ 7.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.05
$0.71
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
90 shares @ 29.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.02
$-0.27
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$19.02
$-5.77
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
61 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.01May 18, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.02May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$8.92May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.95May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.95May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.95May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.22May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$24.06May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.03May 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$7.91May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$8.97May 17, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$23.90May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$23.79May 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.27May 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.61May 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$10.28May 17, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$22.29May 17, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$23.67May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$13.75May 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$9.43May 16, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".