Messy-Lecture
0xff4eec9e20a562c2b74a450249d568305b335502
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$115.11
Total PnL
$-916.60
Realised
$547.52
Win rate
96%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
26550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.83
$13.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$18.00
$6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?
6870 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$13.74
$6.87
- YES
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 19?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 18?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 19?
11974 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.99
$-5.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 18?
9118 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.56
$-4.56
- YES
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
2999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.50
$1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$2.50May 18, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.08May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.03May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.24May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.03May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.10May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.05May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.05May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?$0.01May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.08May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.10May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?$0.02May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.01May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.13May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.29May 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?$0.02May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$0.00May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.01May 18, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?$0.14May 18, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".