Thorough-Conclusion
0xff6265f8a6dccb9ac80ab699d0af73f75a2519cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$82.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$8.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
313 shares @ 22.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.30
$-27.20
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
595 shares @ 33.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.76
$-169.38
- YES
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
158 shares @ 6.3¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.93
$2.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 14?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 14?
19538 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-122.64
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
18018 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-523.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 14?
12494 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-111.39
- NO
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?
4915 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-177.44
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1799 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$138.79Mar 7, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$52.35Mar 7, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$32.04Mar 7, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$54.41Mar 7, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$196.14Mar 7, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$195.91Mar 7, 04:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 7, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 6, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 5, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 4, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 3, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 2, 01:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 1, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 28, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 25, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $94.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 00:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".