Black-Cocktail
0xffa12dd6c84b4cc2354392c00d938f49c23f15bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$196.33
Realised
$-58.75
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- CEARÁ SC
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
2502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.3K
$0.00
- MILWAUKEE ADMIRALS
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
1244 shares @ 38.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$1.2K
$770.04
- OVER
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5
902 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$902.00
$802.78
- NO
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
601 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$601.00
$330.55
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
445 shares @ 37.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$445.00
$279.46
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
321 shares @ 83.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$310.57
$42.21
- NO
Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$19.42
$1.62
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.43
$0.82
- YES
Will Harlequins win?
923 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-470.73
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
842 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-135.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?$98.28Apr 21, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$101.44Apr 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$301.01Apr 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$139.83Apr 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$34.65Apr 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$41.04Apr 12, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$457.60Apr 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$197.98Apr 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$270.45Apr 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$759.92Apr 12, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$78.98Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5$20.24Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$457.60Apr 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$197.98Apr 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$72.39Apr 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?$0.47Apr 12, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$358.05Apr 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$27.72Apr 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$73.80Apr 12, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$74.52Apr 12, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $197.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".