Substantial-Vermicelli
0xffc79c1affa2c9f7a4f516be3d11897dd8f358ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.96
Total PnL
$-5.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.09
$1.09
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.17
$2.17
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.66
$-1.34
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- SEBASTIAN OFNER
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
236 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-05-17?$6.11May 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Sturm Graz win on 2026-05-17?$3.05May 17, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.34May 17, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.02May 16, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.09May 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Virus" on Truth Social this week?$1.01May 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?$1.01May 9, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.00May 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.00May 9, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner$1.03May 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?$2.04May 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.09May 9, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.01May 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.01May 9, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".