Red-Vibrissae
0xffd87246e85ec478d221ade469c3c19ed3be1a4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$70.57
Total PnL
$-620.55
Realised
$-263.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
780 shares @ 5.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.44
$-9.56
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
173 shares @ 5.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.34
$2.34
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1008 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.10
$-27.90
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
371 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.89
$-6.11
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
230 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.30
$-2.70
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
1764 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-81.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
1668 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1138 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$12.39May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.40May 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.12May 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4.04May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.20May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.40May 14, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.78May 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.20May 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.38May 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$10.38May 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$10.39May 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?$10.00May 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$20.00May 12, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$20.74May 12, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$20.69May 12, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$51.55May 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.46May 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 8?$10.40May 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.77May 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$10.49May 7, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".