Polished-Pub
0xfff04853768375e79a7cfa52023c5ef071b554e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$83.66
Total PnL
$-350.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
1099 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.93
$-39.03
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
926 shares @ 10.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.93
$-74.67
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
641 shares @ 31.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.66
$-187.82
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
293 shares @ 18.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.09
$-39.29
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
12 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-9.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$65.96Apr 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.40Apr 21, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$55.56Apr 21, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?$0.00Apr 12, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Sviato-Pokrovske by December 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?$0.01Apr 12, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?$0.00Apr 12, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $56.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".