Inconsequential-Sociology
0xfffee90a12347161a770575e5d4f0a1a0da64e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-747.98
Realised
$-29.86
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1215 shares @ 83.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$917.39
$-92.37
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
1071 shares @ 68.2¢·now 29.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$320.26
$-409.92
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
229 shares @ 84.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$120.23
$-72.70
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
115 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$104.96
$1.72
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$98.30
$18.30
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
49 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$45.96
$1.57
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
122 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.57
$-30.57
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
184 shares @ 69.3¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$26.62
$-100.52
- YES
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?
68 shares @ 12.0¢·now 34.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.64
$15.47
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
105 shares @ 50.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$-42.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$0.22May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$0.00May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$0.23May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$0.04May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$0.30May 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner$7.55May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.84May 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.24May 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.19May 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.26May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.19May 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$1.32May 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.26May 16, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.04May 16, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.34May 16, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.15May 16, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.46May 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.31May 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.02May 16, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner$0.00May 16, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".