Resolution Watch
Markets where the next material event is settlement, not new information. Three explicit sub-buckets so the page never mixes 'expires in 12 hours, get ready' with 'expired three weeks ago, still in dispute' with 'pinned at 100¢ but not closed'.
Expiring soon · next 72h
5Endpoints crossing in the next three days. Resolution source matters more than directional move here.
Past expiry · awaiting UMA
4End date passed but the market hasn't closed cleanly — typically waiting on UMA, a dispute, or an ambiguous resolution rule.
Looks settled · 0¢ / 100¢ pinned
5Pinned at the rail with real volume — the outcome is effectively decided. Verify before treating any move as new information.
- ≈ YES
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Expires May 17, 2026 · UMA proposed
100¢ - ≈ YES
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Expires May 15, 2026 · UMA disputed
100¢ - ≈ NO
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
Expires May 17, 2026 · UMA proposed
0¢ - ≈ NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Expires May 15, 2026 · UMA disputed
1¢ - ≈ YES
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
Expires May 17, 2026 · UMA proposed
100¢