Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
84% 40.5pp
24h volume
$439.7K
Orrery Pulse50% current50-52% 7D range-1.0pp net move
59%55%51%47%42%
50%
May 2350%-1.0pp from start
May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyUMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?UMA DISPUTED
Medium
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
Medium
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsPAST EVENT
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 95/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 85/99 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 82/90 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 23, 2026
Read full brief - Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs probability up 40.5pp on $0.4M of 24h volume.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes resolves in 4h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (3)
WATCHLIST DELTA
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