Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
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Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
94% 50.5pp
24h volume
$551.0K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-1% 7D range-0.5pp net move
17%13%9%4%0%
0%
May 230%-0.5pp from start
May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?UMA PENDING
High
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyUMA PENDING
High
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 90/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 95/77 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 83/93 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 84 | 95/76 74/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 61/90 98/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 23, 2026
Read full brief - Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs probability up 50.5pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Canadiens vs. Hurricanes resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (3)
WATCHLIST DELTA
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