Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify source and settlement before reading price moves as info
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Resolves in 12h — verify the source
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?UMA PENDING
High
High
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Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 71/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 74 | 54/96 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 22, 2026
Read full brief - MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? probability down 12.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? shows a momentum pattern at 71% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 resolves in 12h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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