UMA proposed — verify before treating moves as new info
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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Open Detail and read the resolution source before acting
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersUMA PENDING
High
Trump kiss by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsUMA PENDING
High
New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsUMA PENDING
High
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsPAST EVENT
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Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsPAST EVENT
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesPAST EVENT
—
—
Spurs vs. ThunderPAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-6.5)PAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-5.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-7.5)PAST EVENT
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Thunder (-8.5)PAST EVENT
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Golden Knights vs. AvalanchePAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/85 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 95/81 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 63/92 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 75 | 62/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 21, 2026
Read full brief - Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? probability down 24.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A resolves in 10h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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