Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue MARKET PULSE
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
19% 10.0pp
24h volume
$375.2K
Orrery Pulse33% current33-50% 7D range-17.5pp net move
53%47%41%35%29%
33%
May 2333%-17.5pp from start
May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23May 23
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?UMA PENDING
High
High
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner TienUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?UMA PENDING
High
High
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 84 | 86/87 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 80 | 75/79 92/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 72/89 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 71/79 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 23, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability down 15.4pp on $0.6M of 24h volume.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? resolves in 0h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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