Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers - Completed match?
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.52
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (94.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 94.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (94.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 10:50SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to whether the cricket match between Southern Super Stars and India Tigers scheduled for 2026-03-22 in Legends Cricket League is completed under the competition's official playing conditions. This market resolves according to the finalized match status as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Any match where an official result is declared — including results decided by DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, a Super Over, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling — will resolve Yes. (Draws count as completed results when recognized by the competition.) If the match is abandoned, ends in No Result, is permanently canceled, or otherwise concludes without an official result, the market will resolve No. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed or permanently canceled, after which it will resolve as described above.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
starsReason
Question text matched the sports hard-marker "stars" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers - Completed match?"?
As of Mon, 18 May 2026 10:50:32 GMT, YES is priced at 49% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -0.5pp in the last 24 hours, +0.5pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Mar 29, 2026 (2026-03-29T04:30:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.espncricinfo.com/.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $0.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $3.52. Spread between best bid and best ask: 94.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.