SportsExpires May 23, 2026
Creator

LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner

Probability

0¢

1h

-34.0pp

24h

-41.9pp

24h Vol

$449.5K

Liquidity

$355.5K

Research loop

Inspect the market

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

ScannerMarketWatchlistAlertBrief

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

PINNED NO

Reason

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 23, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 23, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
0¢
May 18, 2026, 04:00 UTCMay 23, 2026, 09:24 UTC
updated 09:24:15 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-23T09-24Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 42pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -34.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum observation firing

    Probability moved down 41.9pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Expires in 3h.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 12:00Scheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 2.6h

    HIGH
  • 09:24Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 41.9pp in 24h with 1.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 09:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h.

    LOW

Price movement

-41.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -42.4pp at 09:24 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
  • 09:24 · -42.4pp → 0¢
  • May 21, 13:00 UTC · -9.0pp → 43¢
  • May 21, 11:00 UTC · -9.0pp → 43¢
  • May 21, 06:00 UTC · -9.5pp → 43¢
  • May 21, 05:00 UTC · -9.5pp → 43¢
  • May 21, 03:00 UTC · -10.0pp → 43¢
  • May 21, 02:00 UTC · -9.5pp → 43¢
  • May 21, 00:00 UTC · -9.5pp → 43¢
updated 09:24:15 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
  • SELLLNG ESPORTS
    Same-Home$48.73@ 100¢
    May 23, 09:22 UTC
updated 09:24:15 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and LNG Esports in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 3 against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 3 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Sports hard marker

Matched term

lol:

Reason

Question text matched the sports hard-marker "lol:" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner"?

As of Sat, 23 May 2026 09:24:15 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -41.9pp in the last 24 hours, -34.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 23, 2026 (2026-05-23T12:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://gol.gg/esports/home.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$449.5K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $449.5K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $355.5K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.1¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket