Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi - Game 2 Winner
Probability
68¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.4K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- May 23, 16:15 UTCScheduled resolutionLOW
Market resolves in 124.5h
- 11:46SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 68¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
4- 73¢0.0
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season
Other · Vol $94.76
- 68¢0.0
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $0.00
- 45¢0.0
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Game Handicap: AE (-1.5) vs RRQ Hoshi (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Alter Ego and RRQ Hoshi in the MPL Indonesia Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 23 at 6:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win Game 2 against RRQ Hoshi. This market will resolve to "RRQ Hoshi" if RRQ Hoshi win Game 2 against Alter Ego. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: lowCategory
Source
Reason
No override, sports marker, rule, or upstream hint matched. Market is unclassified — the keyword rules need an entry for this topic.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi - Game 2 Winner"?
As of Mon, 18 May 2026 11:46:43 GMT, YES is priced at 68% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 23, 2026 (2026-05-23T16:15:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $0.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $1.4K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 26.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.