Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Drug" on Thursday?

• 01
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Expires in 7h. Spread is extremely wide.

• 02
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 23.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Candace Owens is scheduled to speak with Hunter Biden on May 21, 2026. (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/insight/hunter-biden-opens-up-in-rare-candace-owens-interview/gm-GM17183C24?gemSnapshotKey=GM17183C24-snapshot-2&uxmode=ruby) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the video of Hunter Biden and Candace Owens. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to video of Candace Owens and Hunter Biden's interview. If no such interview is aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video or audio of the event.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.