The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 7, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $5.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: disputed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "disputed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.