The market moved

+10.5ppin 24h · now 72¢

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

AI · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 72¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://epoch.ai/frontiermath).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+10.5pp · Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | Orrery