The market moved
-12.3ppin 24h · now 26¢
Will Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $524.96
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.3pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in mm in hong kong between may 1 and may 31, 2026, according to the hong kong observatory — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory — https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.