The market moved

-3.0ppin 24h · now 85¢

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Sports · resolves Dec 31 · vol $7.0K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 85¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on youtube.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: youtube.com — https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.