The market moved

-1.1ppin 24h · now 92¢

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

Politics · resolves Nov 3 · vol $1.12

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 92¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.nvsos.gov).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-1.1pp · Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? | Orrery