Powerful-Election
0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$633.0K
Total PnL
$47.8K
Realised
$8.0K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
197785 shares @ 85.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.9K
$20.4K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
119672 shares @ 81.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$92.7K
$-4.8K
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
88817 shares @ 52.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$87.4K
$41.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
87926 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.7K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
37441 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$37.0K
$985.36
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
40998 shares @ 70.7¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.3K
$1.4K
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
16544 shares @ 92.2¢·now 89.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.8K
$-492.59
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
16602 shares @ 58.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.0K
$4.2K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
15181 shares @ 84.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$11.6K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
25379 shares @ 74.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.0K
$-8.9K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.1KMay 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$10.0KMay 18, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.1KMay 18, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$13.0KMay 18, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$25.6KMay 18, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$12.26May 18, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.45May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$12.26May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$9.5KMay 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$12.3KMay 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.1KMay 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.9KMay 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.4KMay 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$253.80May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$900.00May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$108.33May 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$823.16May 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$81.83May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$905.00May 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$102.06May 16, 21:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".